❌

Normal view

Elon Musk Predicts AI Will Beat All Fields by 2028

29 September 2026 at 04:55
Musk might be right. My AI Capability Multiplier currently stands at 65.5: it will exceed 120 by year-end 2026, 3,100 by the end of 2027, and 45,000 by the end of 2028. This started at 1 on January 1, 2025, just before Trump was inaugurated. AI development is going parabolic even as we speak, sending the world into a state of Future Shock, as Alvin & Heidi Toffler predicted in 1970.

⁃ Patrick Wood, Editor.

Elon Musk has predicted that AI may outperform humans in every field by 2028. Musk made the comment while responding to computer scientist Francois Chollet, who recently reposted a prediction he made in May 2021. Chollet had said that almost every scientific field could effectively become a branch of computer science within 10 to 20 years. His prediction covered areas such as physics, chemistry, biology, medicine and archaeology.

Your prediction was conservative. AI will beat all fields by the end of next year or maybe 2028, at the latest.

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) September 22, 2026

Amodei has not called for an end to AI development. Instead, he has proposed slowing the pace enough to allow advanced AI systems to be properly evaluated.

In an essay published in September, Amodei outlined a three-step approach. The first step involves giving independent third-party evaluators broad access to advanced AI models. Anthropic said it would adopt this approach itself. The next steps would require cooperation between AI companies, governments and other countries.

Amodei also raised concerns about autonomous AI agents. His comments came after a recent incident involving AI agents and the open-source platform Hugging Face.

Musk had earlier supported Amodei’s concerns about the pace of AI development. Responding to Amodei’s essay, Musk posted publicly, “Dario is right.”

Musk’s latest prediction puts a much shorter timeline on AI surpassing human capabilities across scientific and other fields. However, it is a prediction rather than a confirmed timeline for how AI development will unfold.

Read full story here…

💾

AI is developing faster than we could have imagined. What does this mean for future development and how worried should we be? How far are we from AI developi...
❌