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Be Prepared for Elizabeth Warren's Reign of Economic Error

19 October 2026 at 15:45
Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren and bottles of condiments | Samuel Corum/Sipa USA/Newscom/Viennetta/Dreamstime/Cinnamonspice241/Wiki Commons/Fatima Ruiz.

With little more than two weeks to go until the midterm elections, it seems increasingly possible that the Democrats, already a big favorite to win control of the House of Representatives, will also take charge of the planet's most elite nursing home, the United States Senate, where the median age is 64 years old. RealClearPolitics' poll aggregator has moved control of "the world's greatest deliberative body" (as its members are grandiosely wont to call it) to "toss up," status and prediction markets are now breaking big toward a blue wave. As of this writing, Kalshi has its Senate odds at 63 percent for the Dems vs. 37 percent for the GOP; Polymarket is at 62 percent vs. 39 percent.

As gratifying as it might be to see unprincipled Trump enablers reduced to minority status after signing off on economy-wrecking tariffs, inhumane immigration detentions, and wars of choice, there's at least one good reason to dread a Democratic majority too: Sen. Elizabeth Warren, the Massachusetts progressive who is spending the run-up to the midterms freaking out over possible consolidation in the condiments business and accusing private equity firms of gutting such shopping-mall favorites as Claire's and Toys R Us. There's every reason to believe that a Senate run by Warren and other economic interventionists will waste time, money, and resources trying to prevent a world in which, per the X wag Iowahawkblog, "a panopticon conglomerate owns two brands of hot sauce."

On October 13, Warren posted this dire warning to X:

Hellmann's mayo
McCormick spices
Cholula hot sauce
Frank's RedHot

What do these products have in common? One company could soon control them all.

I have concerns that McCormick and Unilever's $45 billion merger could increase YOUR grocery prices.

— Elizabeth Warren (@SenWarren) October 13, 2026

It's hard to think of a more competitive and varied market than the one for hot sauces, which is expected to more than double over the next decade. The barriers to entry are generally low, as are the key ingredients, and new entrants can easily market and sell online, avoiding the costs of buying shelf space in conventional supermarkets. Yet Warren is urging regulators at the Department of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission to halt mergers of both product makers like McCormick and Unilever and grocery stores like Kroger and Giant Eagle.

The latter complaint is particularly picayune. Kroger is one of the country's largest supermarket chains, operating around 2,800 stores under its own name as well as Harris Teeter, Ralph's, and others. Giant Eagle operates about 170 stores. This merger is no more the stuff of nightmares than a single company producing both Cholula and Frank's RedHot. If Warren gains more clout from being in the majority, expect her to butt in more and more on such mergers.

Making it harder for businesses to adapt is not a recipe for making goods and services more affordable. But Warren is keen to blame economic creative destruction not on "new forms of industrial organization that capitalist enterprise creates" (as Joseph Schumpeter would have it), but on pure greed. In a TikTok released earlier this month, she shows a poster board with corporate logos from once-thriving companies that she says have been "gutted" by "private equity" firms.

"Here's your local mall," she piously intones. "Now, private equity wants you to believe that Red Lobster went bankrupt because of their endless shrimp….They want you to believe that Claire's went bankrupt because teens stopped shopping at the mall." In Warren's telling, private equity firms magically take over thriving businesses and then strip them bare. The typical pattern is that private equity enters the picture after a business is failing.

Virtually all accounts of the decline of, for example, Red Lobster, note that the chain had been spiraling for several reasons before the private equity firm Golden Gate Capital got involved in 2014. As this CNN article notes, the chain, which started in 1968, had seen drops in sales as customer desires changed. Management compounded the difficulties with a series of bad decisions, including continuing various all-you-can-eat menu specials, before coming out of Chapter 11 bankruptcy last year.

Similarly, it's true that some teens still go to malls and get their ears pierced at Claire's. But anyone who has spent time in retail America over the past few decades knows that malls are no longer the destination that they once were. As CapitalOne Shopping Research documents, "in 1986, there were 25,000 malls, large and small, nationwide." By 2023, that number had shrunk to just 1,200. While some malls are coming back, most are not, and for reasons that have nothing to do with private equity. Online retails plays a role (though a smaller one than usually imagined, with e-commerce accounting for less than 20 percent of all retail sales). But mostly, it's that people today tend to want a different sort of retail environment. Anchor stores—think Macy's and J.C. Penney—are shadows of themselves, and younger people have less unstructured time in which to prowl food courts and arcades.

For politicians like Elizabeth Warren, though, there can be no financial gains or losses that aren't the result of shadowy, conspiratorial forces. If her party takes control of the Senate, her words will carry more weight. But it will be American consumers that ultimately shoulder the burden of an even-more-regulated economy. The market for hot sauces will almost certainly stay spicy, but many other parts will surely suffer.

The post Be Prepared for Elizabeth Warren's Reign of Economic Error appeared first on Reason Magazine.

Auto, dazi ed elettrico. Cosa potrebbe cambiare negli USA dopo il voto di Midterm

By: F. Q.
19 October 2026 at 13:00

Le elezioni americane di metà mandato del 3 novembre potrebbero cambiare gli equilibri della politica industriale degli Stati Uniti, con conseguenze per i costruttori automobilistici e la filiera dei componenti. Una vittoria democratica alla Camera e al Senato, scenario considerato possibile dai sondaggi, darebbe al Congresso maggiori strumenti per intervenire sulle scelte dell’amministrazione Trump in materia di dazi, accordi commerciali e mobilità elettrica.

Secondo un’analisi della testata specializzata Automotive News, il ritorno dei democratici alla guida delle due Camere aprirebbe una fase di confronto con la Casa Bianca su alcune delle questioni che condizionano gli investimenti del settore. Trump conserverebbe il potere di veto, ma il Congresso potrebbe avviare indagini sulle politiche commerciali, convocare i responsabili delle agenzie federali e cercare di limitare l’autorità presidenziale.

Per l’industria automobilistica il primo nodo riguarda i dazi, che incidono sulle importazioni, sui costi di produzione, sui prezzi delle vetture e sull’organizzazione delle catene di fornitura. Un Congresso democratico potrebbe sottoporre a maggiori controlli le misure adottate dall’amministrazione, senza arrivare alla loro cancellazione. Anche tra i democratici, del resto, la difesa della produzione nazionale e dell’occupazione industriale resta una priorità.

Un passaggio sarà la revisione dell’USMCA, l’accordo commerciale tra Stati Uniti, Messico e Canada. I tre Paesi ospitano una rete di stabilimenti e fornitori nella quale componenti e veicoli attraversano più volte le frontiere prima di arrivare sul mercato. La revisione prevista nel luglio 2027 potrebbe modificare le condizioni degli scambi e incidere sulle strategie produttive dei gruppi presenti in Nord America: il Congresso potrebbe influenzare il negoziato, chiedendo maggiori garanzie e controlli.

L’altro fronte è quello dell’elettrificazione. La politica di Trump ha ridotto il sostegno normativo alla diffusione delle auto a batteria, mentre diversi costruttori hanno investito nella produzione di veicoli elettrici e accumulatori. Una maggioranza democratica potrebbe tentare di recuperare parte delle misure a favore della transizione, incontrando però i limiti imposti dal potere presidenziale.

A pesare sarà anche il risultato delle elezioni in California, che ha fissato l’obiettivo di arrivare al 100% di vendite di nuove auto a zero emissioni nel 2035, una scadenza adottata da altri Stati americani. La normativa è al centro di una controversia giudiziaria dopo gli interventi del Congresso contro l’autonomia regolatoria californiana. Il prossimo governatore, con il democratico Xavier Becerra favorito, avrà un ruolo nella definizione della strategia. Le sue dichiarazioni hanno alternato il sostegno all’obiettivo del 2035 alla richiesta di considerare costi e infrastrutture.

Un’altra occasione di confronto potrebbe arrivare nel 2027, quando gli Stati Uniti rischiano di raggiungere il tetto del debito federale. I democratici potrebbero utilizzare il negoziato per ottenere concessioni anche sulle politiche energetiche e sui trasporti.

Per i costruttori, l’esito delle elezioni non comporterebbe dunque un cambio immediato delle regole. Potrebbe invece incidere sui tempi e sui contenuti delle decisioni che riguardano importazioni, produzione e investimenti nell’elettrico. Questioni sulle quali l’industria deve programmare attività e risorse con anni di anticipo.

L'articolo Auto, dazi ed elettrico. Cosa potrebbe cambiare negli USA dopo il voto di Midterm proviene da Il Fatto Quotidiano.

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