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Russo-Ukrainian war, day 1691: Ukraine opens arms exports to 18 makers as defense output hits $55 billion

Exclusive

Russia is funneling the Ukrainian children it abducts into military camps and conscription. Ukrainian lawyer says world can legally call this genocide—but lacks the will. Kateryna Rashevska can walk you through exactly how one Ukrainian child disappears into Russia: the occupied-territory orphanage, the foster placement with a Kremlin-connected family, the re-education camp, the military uniform, the draft notice that arrives at sixteen.

Military

Drones now cause about 96% of Russia’s battlefield losses. Ukraine’s drone force says it has hit more than 100,000 Russian troops this year alone. That is more than 150,000 since the Unmanned Systems Forces was created.

Intelligence and technology

Fears that Ukraine will lose Starlink are back after Musk backed Trump against Zelenskyy. Adviser says profit makes cutoff unlikely. Serhii “Flash” Beskrestnov says Musk is first of all a businessman, and Ukraine brings SpaceX significant profit, so he is sure no one will switch it off.

Russia is building jet drones that fly 800 kilometers per hour, and Ukraine says it is already working on how to stop next generation. Russia’s jet-powered Gerans fly several times faster than the propeller Shaheds and remain the main challenge for air defense.

Ukraine ordered 54% more FPV attack drones this year than in all of 2025, and deliveries jumped almost fourfold. Contracting across all drone types is up about 5.5 times in recent months compared with a year earlier.

Norwegian nonprofit commits $1 million for interceptor drones to protect Ukraine’s Black Sea ports from Russian drones. The funding will equip Ukrainian border guards and military units with interceptor drones and support equipment to protect port infrastructure vital to Ukraine’s agricultural exports.

Russia equips Geran attack drones with image-based navigation using Google map imagery, reducing reliance on satellite navigation that Ukraine can jam, defense adviser warns. Russian drones can use stored images of terrain to navigate toward targets, making them less dependent on satellite signals that Ukrainian electronic warfare systems can disrupt.

Once considered “taboo,” Russian assassination plots against European defense executives are escalating as its hybrid warfare grows bolder, intelligence agencies warn – FT. European spy agencies say Moscow is expanding covert operations against defense industry leaders, seeking to intimidate companies supplying weapons to Ukraine and weaken support for Kyiv.

Ukraine, long keeping its weapons at home, now lets 18 arms makers export, approving over 90% of more than 400 applications. Ukraine’s defense output is projected at $55 billion this year, up from about $1 billion at the start of the invasion.

International

Trump declares immediate energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Zelenskyy says it was news to him, but Ukraine’s ready. Trump wrote on Truth Social that both sides had agreed to stop striking each other’s energy facilities.

EU imports record 12.18 million tons of Russian Arctic LNG in nine months, 9.5% more than year earlier — research group. Europe spent about 7.88 billion euros on it, the German group of experts says.

Deals with dictators lead to hell: Estonia’s PM urges Europe to help Ukraine destroy Russia’s refineries after Washington eased sanctions on diesel. Kristen Michal will raise it at the European Council next week.

Australia keeps Russian fuel out even as US opens its market: “We do not want Vladimir Putin to benefit from this war in Middle East”. Australia says it has 43 days of petrol and 31 days of diesel stockpiled, enough to wait out high prices without buying from Russia.

Humanitarian and social impact

Hours after Trump declared an energy ceasefire, Russia hit Kharkiv power plant, one of 200-plus strikes on Ukraine’s grid this week, Zelenskyy says. They killed more than 150 people and wounded more than 700.

Political and legal developments

Ukraine wants to draft 15 of every 100 workers at its weapons plants. Arms makers say this could slow guns soldiers need. You can’t just replace a skilled arms worker, makers say. It takes years to build such teams.

Read our earlier daily review here.

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Russo-Ukrainian war, day 1690: US eases sanctions on Russian diesel and EU readies its largest package against Russia’s defense industry

Russo-Ukrainian war (daily review)

Exclusive

Russia is funneling the Ukrainian children it abducts into military camps and conscription. Ukrainian lawyer says world can legally call this genocide—but lacks the will. Kateryna Rashevska can walk you through exactly how one Ukrainian child disappears into Russia: the occupied-territory orphanage, the foster placement with a Kremlin-connected family, the re-education camp, the military uniform, the draft notice that arrives at sixteen.
“Supplying Crimea is turning into a nightmare”: Ukrainian drones hit Russian trucks 770 times in September, and winter will make it worse, analyst says. That's the most of any month this year, up from 630 in August, even though Russian supply trucks now travel in convoys with their own air defense.

International

Trump’s Russian diesel deal, which drew fury in Ukraine, is unlikely to lower prices, experts say. Analysts say Putin pushes for sanctions relief and no new US sanctions, all without any demand to stop the war

Ukraine shares its fortification know-how with Estonia’s new defense minister, weeks after 70-million-euro shells scandal felled his predecessor. Martin Herem took the post on 16 September, after Hanno Pevkur resigned over a procurement scandal.

Memory for 100,000 killed by Nazis: Germany recognizes special responsibility to Ukraine and links it to support against Russia’s war. The Bundestag passed two resolutions ahead of the 85th anniversary of the massacre, a rare moment when the governing coalition and the opposition aligned.

Humanitarian and social impact

Five Russian bombs kill 17 in Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia next day after Trump lets Russia ship first 300,000 tonnes of its diesel. Zelenskyy tied the strike to a US move easing sanctions on Russian diesel.

Political and legal developments

Washington makes it official: US Treasury license clears sale and import of Russian diesel blocked by sanctions. The US Treasury’s waiver lets Russian diesel back onto world markets.

While Washington eases up on Russia, Europe hits back harder: EU plans to pass its largest sanctions package on Russia’s war machine in two days. It is the largest set of sanctions aimed at Russia’s defense industry, covering electronics.

New developments

Russia quietly grows fleet that funds its war: one shell firm in Marshall Islands buys two gas tankers from Chinese and Greek owners. Ukraine named 20 ships that move Russian oil and gas.

Read our earlier daily review here.

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