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Block, Blunt, and Break: The Strategic Risks of NATO’s Theory of Victory

NATO’s new “block, blunt, and break” doctrine promises deterrence through military might, but technological overconfidence, resource constraints, and fragile political unity could turn deterrence into strategic instability. “We will block, blunt, and break the enemy,” said General Grynkewich, Supreme Allied Commander Europe. New words, novel phrases, and the very old technique of turning people’s heads […]
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America’s new Future of Warfare Programme: Fewer Soldiers, More Wars

America’s coming revolution in warfare may not mean fighting fewer wars but fighting more of them without putting Americans on the battlefield. Taking Americans out of the fight When US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth launched Project Meridian on September 30, he presented it as an exercise in imagining warfare decades into the future. Led by […]
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A Barrel of Diesel: How Fuel Became a Lever of Trump’s Policy

From the Russian wheat deals of an earlier generation to a Trump–Putin diesel bargain, energy has become the latest instrument of high-stakes political dealmaking. Diesel has suddenly moved from the fuel pump to center stage in American and European politics. With U.S. fuel prices surging and congressional midterm elections approaching on November 3, Donald Trump […]
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Bombs for Tel Aviv, Promises for Riyadh

The Gaza Ceasefire Is Falling Apart. And So Is the American Plan to Expand the Abraham Accords. The Gaza Ceasefire That Is Killing Palestinians The ceasefire in Gaza, which took effect on October 10, 2025, was supposed to stop a two-year war. By then, according to Palestinian authorities, more than 72,000 Palestinians had been killed. […]
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