Los brasileños eligen este domingo a su próximo presidente. La segunda vuelta enfrenta al presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, del Partido de los Trabajadores (PT), y a ultraderechista Flávio Bolsonaro, del Partido Liberal (PL), que ganó la primera ronda con el 47% de los votos válidos frente al 45,2% de Lula. ¿Qué dicen los datos sobre las opciones de cada uno?
En el bastión del bolsonarismo, en Río de Janeiro, una hija de militar que vive de una pensión de la Marina anuncia que votará a Lula en las elecciones de este domingo. Lo dice mientras espera el autobús con su moño estirado y los labios pintados: “Si gana el bolsonarista, a mí no me irá mal, porque van a ayudar a todos los militares”, dice. “Pero el pueblo civil es el que se va a joder”. Bernardette Victor, con dos erres, lleva 68 años siendo la rebelde de su familia. Ve a los Bolsonaro como “marionetas” del presidente de Estados Unidos y teme que Washington acabe interviniendo en Brasil con la excusa del narcoterrorismo, “como pasó en Venezuela”. “Lo único que quieren son nuestras riquezas”. Sorprende que a unas calles de allí, un militar en activo que votará a Flávio Bolsonaro piense lo mismo.
La reñida batalla electoral de Brasil también se libra a golpe de memes en internet, ya plenamente instalados en el debate político del país. Las redes sociales se han convertido en un terreno de disputa en el que los seguidores del presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva y del senador Flávio Bolsonaro compiten por difundir las imágenes más virales y los vídeos más vistos. En un espacio donde el humor convive desde hace tiempo con la desinformación y los ataques personales, la inteligencia artificial (IA) aporta un nuevo ingrediente: los deepfakes permiten fabricar interacciones tan creativas como absurdas entre los candidatos.
The progressive leader seeks a fourth nonconsecutive term as Brazil heads to its tightest election in recent history.
On Saturday, Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva gathered millions of supporters in Rio de Janeiro and said he was convinced of his victory over far-right Senator Flavio Bolsonaro.
“I am sure we are going to win the elections. You can write it down: tomorrow I will be elected president of the Republic again,” the progressive leader declared to journalists just before setting off on a march along the Copacabana beach promenade.
The Workers’ Party (PT) leader and the son of former ruler Jair Bolsonaro will face off this Sunday for the presidency in the tightest election in Brazil’s recent history.
Lula, seeking his fourth nonconsecutive term at 80 years of age, began this last day of campaigning with a massive event in Rio, where his supporters dressed in red and unfurled a huge Brazilian flag.
Bora Rio de Janeiro! Bora Lula! Os cariocas já estão nas ruas iniciando os atos por de a opoio a Lula que vão ocorrer em todo o Brasil todo. Em Porto Alegre, nos encontramos às 17h, no Largo Zumbi dos Palmares. Até breve.#Lula13pic.twitter.com/dcVaYPu134
The text reads, “Let’s go Rio de Janeiro! Let’s go Lula! Cariocas are already in the streets starting the acts of support for Lula that will be held throughout Brazil. In Porto Alegre we meet at five in the afternoon, at Largo Zumbi dos Palmares. See you soon. Lula 13”
“We are going to win the elections, it is true that the people want change but a change for the better, forward. The people do not want to go backward,” said the former lathe operator who has become an indelible figure in South American history.
The Workers’ Party candidate accused Flavio Bolsonaro of being a “militiaman” in an allusion to the far-right candidate’s ties to relatives of Rio paramilitary groups.
“It is not possible that we fail to convince Brazilian society of the risk that democracy, freedom and people of good will face in this country,” Lula warned, and thanked the militancy for taking on the responsibility of the campaign after the first round with massive events in the streets and a strong mobilization on social networks.
“I have an army bigger than the Chinese and the American. It is the army of Lula,” the Brazilian president said in an allusion to a public WhatsApp channel that has gathered more than 10 million users who define themselves as soldiers of democracy in the fight against fascism.
On Saturday afternoon, Lula will travel to Sao Paulo, the country’s largest electoral district, to close his campaign. Meanwhile, Flavio Bolsonaro marched through the city of Belo Horizonte and will then move to Rio de Janeiro, the political cradle of bolsonarismo.
Nearly 159 million voters are expected to cast ballots in a closely contested election, with polls showing the two candidates tied.
On Sunday, Oct. 25, Brazil will decide its future in the presidential runoff election, pitting President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva against far-right Sen. Flavio Bolsonaro.
Nearly 159 million Brazilians are eligible to elect their next president, who will take office on Jan. 5, 2027. Polling stations will be open for nine hours, from 8 a.m. to 5 p.m. local time. Results will be known on Sunday, thanks to the country’s efficient electronic voting system.
The eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro enters the runoff with an advantage after receiving the most votes in the first round on Oct. 4, winning 47% of the vote, two percentage points more than the progressive leader. However, polls conducted in recent days have shown an upward trend for the Workers’ Party leader, who, at 80, is seeking his fourth nonconsecutive term.
According to the latest poll, released Thursday by polling firm Datafolha, the two candidates are tied at 50% of the valid votes. The outcome of the race is shaping up to be extremely close, even more so than in 2022, when Lula defeated Jair Bolsonaro by just over 2 million votes.
The leftist leader faces the difficult challenge of winning the election after finishing second in the first round. In the nine presidential elections held since the end of the military dictatorship (1964-1985), no one has managed such a feat. To make history, Lula will have to overcome the 2.2 million-vote gap separating him from Bolsonaro after the first round.
“I would like to ask for your vote because either we keep democracy functioning or we will have a militiaman governing this country,” Lula said on Friday night during the final televised debate before the runoff.
Este es Lula liderando con el sindicato del metal a los 33 años la huelga que desafió a la dictadura militar en Brasil. Logró aumentos salariales y fue encarcelado. Mientras, la única profesión del ultraderechista Flávio Bolsonaro ha sido la de político desde que tiene 21 años. pic.twitter.com/pp7YHexIqf
The text reads, “Here is Lula, at age 33, leading the metalworkers’ union in a strike that defied Brazil’s military dictatorship. He secured wage increases and was subsequently imprisoned. Meanwhile, the far-right figure Flávio Bolsonaro has had only one profession—that of a politician—since the age of 21.”
Lula Changes Strategy
Over the past three weeks, Lula has radically shifted his campaign strategy. He has immersed himself in social media and energized his supporters with massive rallies in cities such as Belo Horizonte and Sao Paulo.
He has also stepped up announcements from the presidency: he obtained congressional approval for the reduction of the workweek, forgave the debts of millions of self-employed workers, and introduced incentive measures for the video game industry.
Lula also sent Parliament a proposal to make public transportation free on weekends and holidays in the country’s nearly 6,000 municipalities.
In recent weeks, the far-right Liberal Party (PL) senator has been significantly affected by the possible consequences of his own proposals. Among them is his intention to cut public spending by US$40 billion, although Flavio insists he does not intend to take a single cent from the most vulnerable.
In recent days, the Brazilian press has also revealed new suspicions about Flavio’s involvement in a money-laundering scheme linked to online betting.
📊 PESQUISA DATA FOLHA – NACIONAL ✅ VOTOS VÁLIDOS | 2º TURNO
The text reads: “Datafolha poll – valid votes nationwide | Runoff. Lula (Workers’ Party): 50% (+1). Flavio Bolsonaro (Liberal Party): 50% (-1). Keep working hard to secure votes for Lula—it’s all-out war now!”
Zuckerberg’s Meta Under Scrutiny for Aiding the Far Right
The 2026 presidential campaign has become embroiled in legal disputes on an unprecedented scale. The Superior Electoral Court has received more than 800 complaints throughout the election campaign.
One of those disputes has centered on the controversial conduct of Meta, the owner of WhatsApp, Instagram, and Facebook.
Lula’s supporters have requested the annulment of Bolsonaro’s candidacy over alleged interference by Mark Zuckerberg’s company, which they accuse of favoring the circulation of far-right content while restricting progressive content.
Brasil decide este domingo algo más que su próximo presidente. La segunda vuelta enfrenta a Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, que aspira a la reelección y un cuarto mandato, con Flávio Bolsonaro, el hijo del expresidente condenado por intentar un golpe de Estado al perder las elecciones de 2022. Lo que salga de las urnas en la mayor economía de América Latina tendrá eco en toda la región, de Washington a Buenos Aires, en un momento en que el continente redibuja su mapa político. Por eso, EL PAÍS ha desplegado para Brasil uno de sus mayores equipos de cobertura electoral de los últimos años.
Lo que está en juego este domingo en Brasil va más allá de unas elecciones en tiempos normales y su impacto se notará fuera de sus fronteras, en todo el continente y parte del mundo. Los 159 millones de brasileños llamados a las urnas afrontan una elección nítida entre dos modelos y visiones antagónicas: la que representan Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, símbolo del progresismo global, y Flávio Bolsonaro, hijo del expresidente Jair Bolsonaro, hoy en prisión domiciliaria por el intento de golpe de Estado de 2023.
Lula da Silva desvalorizou as acusações de Flávio Bolsonaro sobre querer criar o "maior imposto mundo". Ainda, André Ventura está disponível para ser ouvido na CPI sobre Luís Neves.
O candidato Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) conseguiu formar uma frente de direita para o segundo turno no proximo domingo (25) e o presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) chega sem conseguir crescer a frente ampla que construiu nas eleições de 2022, segundo especialistas ouvidos pela CNN.
“Em 2026, vimos Lula tentar reeditar essa frente ampla — e eu nem digo que ele não conseguiu, porque os atores que estavam em 2022, em parte, também estão agora. É o caso da Tebet. Mas em termos retóricos e simbólicos, a frente hoje não tem o mesmo peso”, explica a cientista política Mariana Chaise, pesquisadora do CESOP (Centro de Estudos de Opinião Pública).
Um dos motivos apontados para esta diminuição de força, além da ausência de novas figuras, é o fato de Lula estar à frente da Presidência da República.
Diferentemente de 2022, quando ter Alckmin como vice era um símbolo em prol da democracia, agora presidente e vice têm a missão de referendar o que o governo conseguiu entregar e quais são as perspectivas para uma próxima gestão.
“Além disso, seria importante para Lula conseguir o apoio de partidos que têm representação no parlamento e nas regiões brasileiras. Isso poderia ser decisivo. Do outro lado, Flávio Bolsonaro conseguiu uma parte importante de siglas do centro para a direita”, acrescenta Sávio Cavalcante, professor de sociologia da Unicamp (Universidade Estadual de Campinas).
“Flávio conseguiu fazer algo que o bolsonarismo vem fazendo desde 2018, que é hegemonizar o campo das direitas. E neste sentido, vale considerar inclusive o apoio do centro, que se alia a ele por cálculos políticos e eleitorais de sobrevivência e viabilidade”, diz Cavalcante.
“O esvaziamento do centro aconteceu em 2022 porque o PSDB declinou enquanto partido, e também porque elementos que historicamente se vincularam a este campo foram para a direita. É neste contexto que Flávio está organizando parceiros e partidos que já têm em grande medida uma identidade com a agenda dele e, de maneira ampla, com o bolsonarismo. O que aconteceu foi uma atração natural de candidatos que já tinham pautas muito próximas”, finaliza Chaise.
Flávio Bolsonaro admitted he was wrong to oppose extending maternity leave and apologized to Lula for a personal insult during a heated debate.
Brazilian presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro apologized to President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva during a televised debate after Lula challenged him over his past opposition to extending maternity leave, sparking a heated exchange over social welfare, poverty and personal attacks.
Flávio Bolsonaro, who represents the Liberal Party (PL), acknowledged that his earlier vote was a mistake and said he would take a different position today. He also apologized for calling Lula “nine fingers,” a reference to the president’s missing finger, but followed the apology by demanding that Lula answer for his government’s record on poverty and social assistance.
The confrontation unfolded during the debate’s second segment, after Lula requested a right of reply over remarks he considered offensive. The production team had yet to rule on the request when the candidates resumed their exchanges.
Lula chose social policy as the subject of his question and returned to an issue he said Flávio Bolsonaro had left unanswered in the previous debate. He challenged his opponent to explain why he had been the only state legislator in Rio de Janeiro to vote against extending maternity leave.
Qual a justificativa para votar contra a licença-maternidade? Contra o direito das mulheres e da família? Explique, Flávio Bolsonaro. pic.twitter.com/17ibHC7knP
Text Reads: What is the justification for voting against maternity leave? Against the rights of women and the family? Explain, Flávio Bolsonaro.
Flávio Bolsonaro defended his earlier decision by saying he had believed the measure could make employers less willing to hire women. He acknowledged that he had been wrong, adding that marriage and having two children had changed his perspective.
He said he now understood the importance of mothers staying close to their children and would support extending maternity leave beyond 180 days where possible. He maintained that he would vote differently today.
Lula dismissed the explanation, arguing that Flávio Bolsonaro had failed to support the measure when he had the opportunity and was now changing his position as women became more politically active and fought for their rights.
The president then challenged his rival over the term “Bolsa Farelo,” which Flávio Bolsonaro had used to disparage Bolsa Família, Brazil’s income-transfer program. Lula called the expression disrespectful to poor people, arguing that those removed from economic hardship often treated the poor as though they had no value.
The exchange escalated when Lula responded to Flávio Bolsonaro’s use of the nickname “nine fingers.” The president explained that he had lost a finger at age 17 while working the night shift at a factory, saying he had needed the job to afford food.
“I will not allow a militiaman to call me ‘nine fingers,’” Lula declared. He also accused Flávio Bolsonaro of never having worked, alleging that the first job recorded in his rival’s employment record was a fictitious position arranged by his father.
Flávio Bolsonaro offered an apology, saying he had not intended to offend Lula with the remark. He then turned the criticism back on the president, demanding that Lula apologize to people experiencing homelessness and recipients of Bolsa Família.
Flávio Bolsonaro claimed that the number of people living on the streets had nearly doubled under Lula’s current government, citing a figure of 199,000 people as the starting point. He also accused the president of neglecting Bolsa Família beneficiaries for four years and addressing their concerns only 17 days before the election.
The candidate criticized a recent adjustment to the benefit, claiming the increase amounted to three Brazilian reais a day — enough, he quipped, to buy three eggs.
The exchange brought the candidates’ competing arguments over social policy into sharp focus. Lula pressed Flávio Bolsonaro to account for his legislative record on maternity leave, while his opponent sought to shift scrutiny toward the government’s handling of homelessness and income support.
Às vésperas do segundo turno, marcado para este domingo (25), o TSE (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) soma uma série de decisões que ajudaram a definir os limites da campanha de Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) e Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), sobretudo no ambiente digital.
Na maioria dos casos, a Corte foi provocada por uma das candidaturas e acabou dividida.
Abaixo, a CNN lista as principais decisões da Justiça Eleitoral sobre as campanhas de Flávio e Lula:
A maioria seguiu o relator, o presidente da corte, Kassio Nunes Marques, e foi formada ainda por André Mendonça, Dias Toffoli e Antonio Carlos Ferreira. Ficaram vencidos Ricardo Villas Bôas Cueva, Floriano de Azevedo Marques e Estela Aranha.
Por 4 a 3, a corte entendeu que transmitir uma convenção pela internet não transforma automaticamente um ato de apoio em propaganda antecipada: é preciso avaliar conteúdo, linguagem, destinatários e contexto.
A decisão gerou uma sucessão de decisões conflitantes, tanto no TSE quanto no STF (Supremo Tribunal Federal): no domingo (27), o ministro Flávio Dino, do STF (Supremo Tribunal Federal), anulou a medida a pedido do humorista Antonio Tabet, autor de um dos posts. Na segunda (28), Luiz Fux restabeleceu a ordem de Mendonça.
Mendonça mudou o voto e liberou o post de Tabet, que falava em “família miliciana” sem citar Flávio. Prevaleceu o entendimento de que devem cair apenas as publicações que, sem dúvida, associem o candidato à ideia, e de que, havendo “dúvida razoável”, vale a liberdade de expressão. Os sete ministros concordaram em retirar posts que afirmem como fato que Flávio propôs, apoiou ou articulou a mudança.
A campanha petista dizia que a empresa falhava “de forma reiterada e sistemática” na entrega de suas postagens e afirmava que a Meta AI, assistente de inteligência artificial da plataforma, recusou pedidos de imagens de Lula, mas gerou peças favoráveis a Flávio em testes feitos em 13 de outubro. A Meta reconheceu falhas técnicas em anúncios e publicações da campanha, mas negou viés ideológico em seus algoritmos. O PT também levou o caso à OEA e à ANPD.
A empresa não pode reduzir alcance, retirar de recomendações, restringir buscas nem desabilitar contas de anúncios das candidaturas, e restrições automáticas ao impulsionamento devem passar por revisão em até duas horas. A Meta AI precisa aplicar critério idêntico aos dois candidatos.
São seis critérios, que não precisam ocorrer em conjunto, desde que haja ao menos um elemento objetivamente verificável: uso de recursos ou estrutura da campanha, suporte técnico, fornecimento habitual de conteúdo, divulgação do canal em perfis oficiais, direcionamento coordenado de seguidores e orientação sobre conteúdo, frequência ou metas.
Canais criados espontaneamente por eleitores, ainda que reproduzam material da campanha, não são enquadrados. Uma vez vinculado, o canal deve ser comunicado à Justiça Eleitoral e se submete às regras de propaganda.
Duelo de sigilos (22 de outubro)
Depois de Lula desafiar Flávio, no fim do primeiro debate do segundo turno, no domingo (18), a abrir sigilos bancário, fiscal e telefônico dos dois e de seus familiares, ambos enviaram ofícios ao tribunal condicionando a divulgação à do adversário. Na quinta (22), Mendonça respondeu que os candidatos podem divulgar os próprios dados quando e como quiserem, sem autorização judicial. “Não cabe à Justiça Eleitoral definir o que cada candidato quer ou não divulgar”, escreveu.
O ministro ressalvou que a abertura voluntária de extratos e declarações, embora legítima, não substitui investigações conduzidas sob controle judicial, já que recursos ilícitos costumam circular por intermediários, os chamados “laranjas”. Como mostrou a CNN, o ministro reafirmou essa decisão na sexta-feira (23).
Lula promises to expand full-day schooling and student aid as Flávio Bolsonaro challenges his education record and attacks his family.
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva pledged to bring full-day schooling to every school through the secondary level if re-elected, while opposition candidate Flávio Bolsonaro accused his government of cutting education funding and attacked the president’s family over online gambling.
The exchange during an education segment of the presidential debate centered on extended school hours, student assistance and childcare before turning into a personal confrontation over jogo do tigrinho, an online gambling game.
Lula, of the Workers’ Party (PT), challenged Bolsonaro to explain his plans for full-day schooling. Bolsonaro, of the Liberal Party (PL), responded that he would deliver what the current government had failed to achieve, accusing Lula’s administration of cutting federal funding for the program and attempting to conceal the reductions.
Enseñanza de tiempo integral enfrenta a Lula y Bolsonaro en el debate
🏫 Lula se comprometió a "concluir en el próximo mandato el 100% de las escuelas de tiempo integral en este país hasta la enseñanza media".
Text Reads: Full-Day Schooling Pits Lula Against Bolsonaro in Debate Lula committed to “concluding in the next term 100% of full-day schools in this country up to secondary education.” He defended his administration and highlighted the creation of ProUni. He also denounced the conditions in which he received the presidency regarding education.
Bolsonaro then shifted the discussion to online gambling, accusing Lula of being responsible for the rise of jogo do tigrinho. He claimed the game was created and authorized in 2022 by those now in government and alleged that its cancellation was being pursued only as the election approached. He also invoked the nicknames Lulinha and Tigrinho in referring to the president’s sons.
Lula responded by pointing to his party’s record on education since it first took office in 2003. He credited former education ministers Fernando Haddad and Camilo Santana with leading what he described as a transformation of Brazil’s education system. If re-elected, he said, he would ensure that all schools offered full-day schooling through the secondary level.
He also pledged to expand Pé de Meia, a financial assistance program designed to keep students in school, making it available to all secondary students and extending it to university students. Lula said the program had helped prevent 66% of participating students from dropping out, arguing that no young person should have to abandon their education.
“Não existe nenhum país do mundo que conseguiu se desenvolver sem antes investir na Educação. A gente tem mais universidades, IFs e escola em tempo integral. A gente cuidou da educação como jamais tinha sido cuidada na história desse país"
– Lula no debate da Globo…
— União Brasileira das/dos Estudantes Secundaristas (@ubesoficial) October 24, 2026
Text Reads: “There is no country in the world that managed to develop without first investing in Education. We have more universities, IFs, and full-time schools. We took care of education like it had never been taken care of in the history of this country” – Lula in the Globo debate
The president further recalled that his administration had inherited 5,600 stalled projects involving daycare centers, schools and federal institutes from the previous government. He contrasted those unfinished projects with the civic-military school model promoted by his predecessors, which he also described as incomplete.
Bolsonaro rejected claims that he intended to abolish Pé de Meia, calling the allegation a falsehood spread by his opponent’s campaign. He pledged to maintain the program and cited measures taken under the administration of his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, including the cancellation of nearly 99% of the debt owed by students who had completed higher education and a 33% teacher salary increase, which he described as the largest in history.
The opposition candidate also proposed a childcare subsidy for mothers unable to work because they lacked access to daycare. He said more than one million children had no place in the public childcare system and pledged to allow families to enroll them in private facilities where public places were unavailable.
On full-day schooling, Bolsonaro proposed using the additional hours for vocational training and instruction in technology, artificial intelligence and application development. He argued that keeping children closer to school would put them farther from crime.
The candidates presented contrasting approaches to education, with Lula emphasizing universal full-day schooling and expanded financial support for students, while Bolsonaro focused on childcare subsidies and vocational training alongside accusations over education funding and the president’s family.
Oúltimo debate antes do segundo turno das eleições de 2026, promovido pela TV Globo na noite da sexta-feira (23), separou aliados de Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) e Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) e evitou embates.
Segundo relatos de autoridades presentes no estúdio, foram montadas três estruturas para os convidados. As plateias ocupadas por aliados de Flávio e Lula ficaram separadas por uma reservada a profissionais de imprensa.
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A estratégia da emissora carioca evitou bate-bocas e provocações nos bastidores — como as que ocorreram no primeiro debate presidencial. Mas ainda assim houve momentos de acirramento de tensões.
Em um deles, Flávio Bolsonaro se dirigiu a Cristiane Gomes da Silva, mãe da menina Ana Clara, pelo nome de sua filha. A mulher esteve na plateia de Lula e rebateu: “ela morreu”. A menina foi morta em 2021 por uma bala perdida, e o senador atuou como advogado de um suspeito.
Por outro lado, houve irritação e gritaria por parte da plateia de Flávio quando Lula não utilizou o tempo total à sua disposição e foi alertado pelo moderador — o que aconteceu mais de uma vez.
As plateias destinaram aplausos aos seus candidatos e gritos contra os adversários em momentos pontuais. Ao final do debate, ambas as equipes entoaram cânticos para seus respectivos presidenciáveis.
Bolsonaro ganó la primera vuelta del 4 de octubre por 47 a 45%, y no hay antecedentes en la democracia brasileña iniciada en 1985 de un derrotado en la primera vuelta que gane la segunda Leer
Bolsonaro ganó la primera vuelta del 4 de octubre por 47 a 45%, y no hay antecedentes en la democracia brasileña iniciada en 1985 de un derrotado en la primera vuelta que gane la segunda
Flávio quis mostrar imagem de moderado e afirmar-se como presidenciável. Lula usou um discurso mais duro e insinuou que adversário é perigo para a democracia. Candidatos quiseram convencer indecisos.
El presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva y el senador Flávio Bolsonaro, hijo del expresidente Jair Bolsonaro, se enfrentaron este viernes en el segundo y último debate antes de la segunda vuelta del domingo. Los dos llegaban empatados al cara a cara, organizado por TV Globo en sus estudios de Río de Janeiro: tras la victoria de Bolsonaro en la primera vuelta del pasado 4 de octubre, las últimas encuestas les dan un 50% a cada uno. Durante las más de dos horas de debate, el tono fue más constructivo que en el primer encuentro, aunque no faltaron los golpes bajos y las ofensas. Lula, que empezó titubeante, acabó poniendo a su rival a la defensiva.
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